Singularity Rising: Surviving and Thriving in a Smarter, Richer, and More Dangerous World
James D. Miller
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But what about the average person? How will the Singularity affect our daily lives—our jobs, our families, and our wealth?
Singularity Rising: Surviving and Thriving in a Smarter, Richer, and More Dangerous World focuses on the implications of a future society faced with an abundance of human and artificial intelligence. James D. Miller, an economics professor and popular speaker on the Singularity, reveals how natural selection has been increasing human intelligence over the past few thousand years and speculates on how intelligence enhancements will shape civilization over the next forty years.
Miller considers several possible scenarios in this coming singularity:
• A merger of man and machine making society fantastically wealthy and nearly immortal
• Competition with billions of cheap AIs drive human wages to almost nothing while making investors rich
• Businesses rethink investment decisions to take into account an expected future period of intense creative destruction
• Inequality drops worldwide as technologies mitigate the cognitive cost of living in impoverished environments
• Drugs designed to fight Alzheimer's disease and keep soldiers alert on battlefields have the fortunate side effect of increasing all of their users’ IQs, which, in turn, adds a percentage points to worldwide economic growth
Singularity Rising offers predictions about the economic implications for a future of widely expanding intelligence and practical career and investment advice on flourishing on the way to the Singularity.
greater skills at designing smarter and more powerful computers. •AI offers fantastic profit opportunities to technology companies. As Microsoft founder Bill Gates wrote, “If you invent a breakthrough in artificial intelligence, so machines can learn, that is worth ten Microsofts.”74 The market just for robots with human-level intelligence that could work as soldiers, farmers, housekeepers, sex companions, industrial manufacturers, and care workers for the elderly would almost certainly exceed
their first dose.” I myself consulted Wikipedia before I took the drug. While writing this book, I decided to try cognitive-enhancement drugs. I used my learning disability to legitimately get a doctor’s prescription. Ritalin made me feel intoxicated. Modafinil didn’t seem to do much but messed up my sleep schedule. It was also expensive and not covered by my insurance, so unless modafinil gave me a huge benefit, I wasn’t going to take it regularly. Adderall, however, did the trick. Initially,
across during the periods in which they trained. I have a poor working memory, which often caused me to become lost in graduate economics classes as a young man because I couldn’t keep track of all the variables professors used in their lectures. Brain-fitness games, however, seem to have increased my working memory, and had I been playing the games as a graduate student, I think I would now be a better economist. Researchers have some decent evidence that brain training can reduce the risk of
cognitive enhancement drugs were highly effective but illegal, parents who refused to let their children take the drugs would become very angry at how other children’s drug use gave them an admissions advantage. These parents might end up pushing politicians to force SAT students to take drug tests, much as professional athletes are sometimes required to take tests to prove they haven’t used steroids. Many parents would probably get around these drug tests by trying to get a doctor to write their
savings or investments you own pre-Singularity will be worthless post-Singularity, then you won’t bother to save for the long term. An ultra-AI might obliterate the value of pre-Singularity investments by taking control over the distribution of resources and allocating them without regard to pre-Singularity property rights. A Singularity might also abolish scarcity, change humans so that we no longer value wealth, or do something else that I haven’t considered that eliminates the value of