The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
Format: PDF / Kindle (mobi) / ePub
A fascinating, eye-opening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the U.S. and the world from one of our most incisive futurists.
In his thought-provoking new book, George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR—the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm—focuses on what he knows best, the future. Positing that civilization is at the dawn of a new era, he offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century all based on his own thorough analysis and research. For example, The U.S.-Jihadist war will be replaced by a new cold war with Russia; China’s role as a world power will diminish; Mexico will become an important force on the geopolitical stage; and new technologies and cultural trends will radically alter the way we live (and fight wars). Riveting reading from first to last, The Next 100 Years is a fascinating exploration of what the future holds for all of us.
For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com
enormously prosperous from its sea power and that the Soviet Union couldn’t possibly compete, being landlocked. Second, having control of the seas gave the United States a huge political advantage as well. America could not be invaded, but it could invade other countries—whenever and however it chose. From 1945 onward, the United States could wage wars without fear of having its lines of supply cut. No outside power could wage war on the continent of North America. In fact, no other nation could
of dominating all of the world’s oceans, the United States obviously wanted to continue to hold them. The simplest way to do this was to prevent other nations from building navies, and this could be done by making certain that no one was motivated to build navies—or had the resources to do so. One strategy, “the carrot,” is to make sure that everyone has access to the sea without needing to build a navy. The other strategy, “the stick,” is to tie down potential enemies in land-based
educated segments of the population are the ones where life pat terns have diverged the most. The very poorest, on the other hand, have lived in a world of dysfunctional families since the industrial revolution be gan. For them, chaotic patterns of reproduction have always been the norm. However, between the college-educated professional and business classes on the one side and the underclass on the other, there is a large layer of society that has only partially experienced the demographic
inter ests. In that case as well, the United States followed a strategy of strengthen ing regional allies, aiding Britain and Russia against Germany, and China against Japan. Now, a century later, it will again be prepared to play a long game. It will have no desire to occupy or destroy either Turkey or Japan, much less Germany. The United States is playing a defensive game, block ing emerging power. It is not engaged in an offensive strategy, however it might appear. American strategy will be
needed decreases until ultimately what is required is a re markably small number of extremely well-trained and sophisticated war riors. It is important to see how the weapons culture created by the United States parallels its demographic shift. With an aging and contracting popu lation, the maintenance of mass forces becomes difﬁcult, if not impossible. The key to warfare in the twenty-ﬁrst century, then, will be precision. The more precise weapons are, the fewer have to be ﬁred. That means